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Why Epidemiology is Underutilized as a Tool For Decision-Making in Health Services

By Gilles Dussault

[Editor’s note: Reprinted with permission from the Epidemiological Bulletin, Pan American Health Organization, Abridged and revised for The Epidemiology Monitor.]

The usefulness of epidemiology for decision-making in the management of health services is easy to demonstrate. Decisions on resource allocation and on the definition of priorities and objectives cannot be made without data to identify problems and their distribution in the target population. The problem arises in understanding why administrators fail to use epidemiology and how one may foster more appropriate use.

Pressures to change this situation have been growing in several areas:

1) Increasingly, in countries of the Americas, policies are being defined according to goals and not simply in terms of services to be offered and resources to be mobilized. The objective of such policies is to have a measurable impact on the health of a given population. This is a very different objective than trying to meet people’s spontaneous demands for services.

Such policies require reliable and pertinent baseline data and acceptable criteria for selecting priorities, among which one of the most fundamental is to have valid intervention strategies. Epidemiology can help to validly describe and explain the state of health and monitor the evolution of problems. It can also contribute to an evaluation of the effectiveness of different interventions.

2) Regional and municipal decentralization and local health systems development favor the population approach to health problems. The institutional and professional approaches which focus on the individual may function without the contribution of epidemiological data (it is enough to anticipate the demand or, eventually, to foster it), but the population approach requires such data. Its aims are expressed in terms of indicators that need to be changed. Without the contribution of epidemiological data on the evolution of the state of health, there would be no population approach, unless we wish to consider the impressions of managers, professionals or representatives of the population as sufficiently reliable and valid sources of data on health conditions.

3) The search for a more equitable distribution of the resources available for health services also requires an epidemiological contribution at two levels at least:

• Identification of differences in epidemiological profiles of different regions and population groups, which is required because equity implies a needs-based resource allocation

• Evaluation of the impact of different intervention options in order to avoid wasting limited resources

If each disbursement represents an opportunity cost (its equivalent in other disbursements forgone), valid data on the relative effectiveness of decision options is essential for the decision-making process, even at the level of micro-decisions (e.g., to prescribe a drug, to order a test, to admit a patient).  Data on variations in medical practice cannot be ruled out simply on the argument that no two patients are the same or because the circumstances of practice have divergent characteristics. Such a position would be tantamount to accepting that all physicians are always right. Physicians and other health professionals need to carry out rigorous analysis on those data in order to determine which variations are acceptable and which should be eliminated. Every time a cesarean section, bypass, prostatectomy or tonsillectomy is needlessly performed, resources are diverted from needs for which effective interventions might exist; in the context of publicly financed health services, this is not ethically acceptable.

This position is idealistic to promote the search for maximum compatibility between interventions and resource allocations in terms of needs, effectiveness and efficiency.  It is not, however, utopian because we already have the technical capability to bring us closer to the ideal. Our problem is that we do not utilize this capability. Why?

Potential vs. Actual Practice

There are two main reasons for the gap between epidemiology and management: 

1) There are few instances in which governments have adopted a true health policy and have the authentic will to apply it. It is still rare for planning to be based on goals formulated in terms of health indicators, and rarer still to find coherence between organizational strategies and those goals. Decisions related to resource allocation may be influenced by factors unrelated to needs. There are economic factors tied to the interests of equipment manufacturers and producers of other inputs, pharmaceutical, insurance, and construction companies, consulting firms, and obviously, politicians. Technical decision criteria—among which epidemiological criteria would be the most important—play a more significant role when there is a true commitment from decision-makers to the objective of changing health conditions. Without this prerequisite, the notion that epidemiology will have an important impact on decisions is mere wishful thinking. In addition to producing pertinent data, epidemiologists should participate in the movement that sets the promotion of improvement in health conditions as a major social priority.

Even when the political will exists to implement a health policy, clear goals cannot always be defined because of a lack of information.

2) Despite the fact that circumstances do not always favor the best use of epidemiology in health service management, one must admit that the behavior of epidemiologists and managers also contributes to the problem. Both have different, but not necessarily divergent visions of what is “good information.” Epidemiologists are concerned with problems related to the validity of numerators and denominators, the credibility of data collection tools and the scientific quality of analyses. This is normal and desirable. Many in the profession are more comfortable with variables that lend themselves well to quantitative measurements, and so they tend to reduce health problems to their biophysical dimensions. That component of epidemiology, tends to give short shrift to the health perspective and the qualitative methods of the social sciences. “Hard” epidemiologists who only see disease as the manifestation of a difference between an observed situation and professionally defined norms easily dismiss the opinion of sociologists and anthropologists that health and disease are cultural products (products of representations) rather than having only a biophysical basis. Epidemiological development has been occurring more in relation to academic criteria than to the needs of service systems.

In Latin America, epidemiology has been more concerned with the sociocultural aspects of health problems. But my impression is that the field has had little contact with health services management.

The result is that if epidemiologists were to assume responsibility for management they might be astonished to discover the differences between the type of information they need to make management decisions and the information that they actually produce. On the other hand, one finds scant familiarity among managers with the contributions that epidemiology can make to management. In North America, the great majority of managers know little about the potential contributions of epidemiology.

For managers, useful information is that which covers the population serviced, is quickly accessible, easy to interpret, and inexpensive. Managers have little awareness of the difficulties that hamper or often prevent the production of such data. They have a more institutional than populational perspective which explains their limited interest in epidemiological data. Consequently, epidemiologists have an educational task to fulfill. They need to explain the limits of what is possible, the problems of incompatibility among data sources, validity requirements, and methodological difficulties in measuring certain variables.

Municipal and regional decentralization favors the horizontal and vertical integration of institutions that provide services (an integration that requires a very strong political commitment). As resource allocations are linked to the distribution of needs among the population, managers will begin to become concerned about health information and to voice demands for epidemiological expertise.  Consequently, they will not be satisfied with traditional indicators; they will also want information on problems that epidemiologists disregard: mental and social problems, family and urban violence, drug abuse, and the effectiveness of intervention options. Managers have the responsibility to better define their needs and explain to epidemiologists the role that socio-health information plays in the decision-making process. For their part, epidemiologists should be prepared to respond to these requirements if they want to maintain their professional standing.

Linking Epidemiology and Management

Decisions in the health sector are being based on numerous factors, such as the requirements and preferences of users, professionals and managers (not necessarily in this order). Furthermore, other factors come into play such as political and economic interests, power relationships among participants in the decision-making process, the costs and availability of resources, perceived needs and measures. Our concern is to conceive strategies to broaden the relative contribution of health and social data to decision-making.

Quebec’s attempts to guide resource allocations in this way are recent but they demonstrate that actors in the health service system have quickly appreciated the need for epidemiological data in order to justify their resource requirements. Professionals and managers are seeking relevant data, now that they understand that the rules of the game require documentation of the need for and utility (relevance) of proposed health services.

It would be most helpful to strengthen the education of management in the discipline of epidemiology and that of epidemiologists in the field of management. Administrators should know the language of epidemiology, how it works, and what its limitations are. The mistake that must be avoided is to teach epidemiology to managers as if they were to be trained to become epidemiologists. Epidemiology should be taught, instead, as a management tool, as a decision-making aid. It should foster managers’ adoption of a population approach to health needs, and it should provide strategies for identifying those needs. On the other hand, epidemiologists should be sensitive to management needs and produce pertinent and useful data, presented in a form that increases the likelihood of it being used. Therefore, they should learn to communicate information.

To my mind, the current problem is not one of scarcity of resources, but the poor utilization of resources. Managers complain that they do not have access to data they would like to use and that the data they do receive are not relevant. This characterization may be a bit overstated, but it does reflect the differences in perception between administrators and epidemiologists over what is relevant. Inclusion of epidemiologists on management teams can contribute a great deal to the process of defining the needs, priorities and strategies of intervention and evaluation.  Such a proposal does not mean that epidemiologists should be subordinated to management requirements and act only as data-supply technicians. Epidemiology should conserve its role of critical analysis of policies and decisions in the health sector; managers would also benefit from recognizing the role that should be fulfilled in evaluation activities.

Conclusion

Epidemiology is not, nor will it become, a substitute for decision-making. Its role is to introduce more rationality into the process. It has numerous potential areas of influence:

1) in public health policies, helping to define priorities, objectives and strategies

2) in the reconfiguration of services, examining the consequences of decentralization, out-patient surgery, reducing admissions, and integrating services into programs

3) in the professional practices, studying variations in effectiveness and efficiency

4) in management practices

5) in research priorities

These contributions are necessary both in the context of declining available resources, characteristic of rich countries, as well as in the context of increasing investments in the health sector, which is occurring in the Latin American countries that have been controlling inflation and have undergone growth. Consequently, the challenge for both epidemiologists and administrators is to achieve the type of alliance that produces policies and strategies that have a greater impact on the well-being of populations.

Published December 1995  v

 

 
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