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UNICEF Calls Prevention Of Child Deaths “First Great Achievement Of The New  Millennium”

At Least Six Million More Children Being Saved Annually Compared To 1990

Accomplishments Still Fall Short Of Stated Goal For 2015

An estimated 19,000 fewer children under five are dying each day in 2015 compared to 1990 when 35,000 total were dying daily, according to recent reports from UNICEF and other UN agencies. Called “substantial” and “remarkable” progress by the authors, the “Levels and Trends in Child Mortality Report 2015” finds that an estimated 5.9 million child deaths have occurred or will occur in 2015, at least 6 million lower than the 12.7 million deaths estimated for 1990.

Rate of Decline

The under five mortality rate stood at 90 child deaths per 1,000 live births in 1990 and fell to 43 by 2015. The annual rate of decline has been 3% and the overall decline during this 25 year time period was 53%.

During the period 2000-2015, an estimated 48 million under five child deaths were prevented, and 18 million of these survivors lived because the pace of the decline increased after 2000.

Great Achievement

In an accompanying report, “A Promise Renewed: 2015 Progress Report” UNICEF Director Yoka Brandt states “Saving the lives of millions of children in urban and rural settings, in wealthy and poor countries, is one of the first great achievements of the new millennium---and one of the biggest challenges of the next 15 years is to further accelerate this progress.”

Interventions

Credited with bringing about these  impressive achievements are 1) skilled antenatal, delivery, and postnatal care, 2) breastfeeding, 3) immunization, 4) insecticide treated mosquito nets, 5) improved water and sanitation, 6) oral rehydration therapy for diarrhea, 7) antibiotics for pneumonia, and 8) nutritional supplements and therapeutic foods.

Remaining Challenges

Despite these important accomplishments, the number of child deaths remains high at 16,000 per day. At the current rate of progress, the Millennium Development Goal  to reduce under five mortality by two-thirds by 2015 is 10 years behind schedule and would not be achieved before 2026. Had the necessary steady progress been made since 2000 to achieve that goal, 14 million more children would have survived to age five beginning in 2000.

Sustainable Development Goal

These facts are behind the call for redoubling the efforts to prevent child deaths as part of the new Sustainable Development goal for 2030 to reduce the rate of under five mortality from 43 per 1,000 live births to 25 per 1,000. Encouragingly, the rate of decline has been swifter since 2000 than in the preceding decade.

At present, several regions of the world, particularly sub-Saharan Africa and Southern Asia need to make quicker progress by doubling or even tripling their rates of declining mortality.

Projections

If the child death rate in 2015 is extended to 2030, 94 million children are expected to die. If the rate of decline in child death rate matches the decline of the last few years, 69 million children are expected to die. It is only with an acceleration of that rate of progress that the 2030 Sustainable Development Goal can be met. If so, the number of child deaths in 2030 will fall to 2.4 million in that year or about 6,500 per day, significantly less than the 16,000 per day now.

Nature of the Challenges

The vast majority of under five deaths are caused by infectious diseases (about half) and neonatal complications. Many of these are readily preventable or treatable with the proven cost-effective and quality-delivered interventions which already account for the progress to date, according to the report. Almost half of all under five deaths are attributable to undernutrition.

The report calls for more investment by individual countries and the international community to end preventable child deaths by focusing on sub-Saharan Africa where the increase in population could well surpass any declining rate in child deaths if no acceleration in decline takes place. Another target area is Southern Asia which has a rate of 51 per 1,000 live births, double the rate called for in 2030.

Interventions should be enhanced in dealing with neonatal deaths since the decline in that category of children has been slower than the decline of child deaths in the post neonatal period.

Additional information is available here: 

https://tinyurl.com/nz6flz4

https://tinyurl.com/nwqbowl


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