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Progress In Achieving Worldwide Polio Eradication Is Reversed

Risk Of International Spread Is Now At Highest Point Since 2014

“Gravely concerned”. That’s how the International Health Regulations (IHR) Emergency Committee meeting at the World Health Organization last month reacted to the latest update on the progress of the international polio eradication program.

The group noted the significant increase in wild polio virus type 1 cases to 113 globally as of December 11, 2019 compared to 28 for the same period in 2018. In fact, the total number of wild polio cases in 2019 rose to 163 by December 31, according to the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI).

Recommendation

Because it saw no significant success yet in reversing the trend, IHR recommended that countries with the potential to cause international spread should conduct intensified activities. The three countries where polio wild virus type 1 remains endemic are Pakistan, Afghanistan and Nigeria. This latter country has not had wild polio cases in three years but is still technically considered endemic. Pakistan and Afghanistan are often referred to as an epidemiological block because of the polio activity in the border area.

More Complications

If the increase in wild polio cases was not enough, further alarm was caused by  multiple outbreaks of circulating vaccine derived poliovirus strains in the four WHO regions of Africa, the Eastern Mediterranean, South-east Asia, and the Western Pacific. The cause of the alarm is the rapid emergence of vaccine derived polio virus type 2 strains in several countries and this is “unprecedented and very concerning and not yet fully understood”, according to IHR. Roland Sutter, former head of polio research at World Health Organization, told Science News  “We are clearly in the most serious situation we have been in with the program.”

Background on Viruses

Three wild polio virus strains (types 1, 2, and 3) are recognized, and types 2 and 3 were certified as eradicated in 2015 and 2019 respectively. This was achieved through the broad use of live attenuated oral polio vaccine (OPV) containing vaccine virus against all three types (trivalent vaccine OPV).

However, these vaccine viruses have the capacity to circulate and mutate causing paralytic polio in some children. The GPEI reported 259 such cases of circulating vaccine derived polio virus in 2019. Thus, while the number of wild polio cases has declined 99.99% since 1988 according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the existence of these vaccine derived polio cases is an unavoidable but negative consequence of using live vaccine.

Type 2 Challenges

To prevent vaccine derived polio, the use of the trivalent vaccine was halted in 2016 after the eradication of type 2 and bivalent vaccine with only type 1 and type 3 vaccine viruses was used. A monovalent type 2 vaccine was created to help control outbreaks of vaccine derived type 2.  However, the number of vaccine derived outbreaks has been larger than expected and it is unclear how frequently and how widely these type 2 vaccine derived strains will circulate.

There is added concern on the part of public health authorities since use of type 2 live vaccine was halted after the eradication of the live virus and millions of children are not protected against this vaccine derived virus.

Some of the actions recommended by the IHR to combat the current situation are:

1. Officially declare poliovirus transmission as a national public health emergency and implement or maintain all required measures to support polio eradication.

2. Ensure that all residents or longtime visitors get vaccinated against polio.

3. Intensify crossborder efforts by significantly improving coordination at all levels to substantially increase vaccination coverage of travelers crossing the border and of populations that live near the border.

4. Intensify efforts to increase routine immunization coverage.

Misinformation

The IHR urged all countries, particularly those in Africa, to remain on high alert for the possible importation of vaccine derived polio virus type 2 and to respond to these importations as a national public health emergency. IHR noted that resistance to vaccination among certain populations is a significant factor in the spread of outbreaks, particularly in Pakistan and Angola. It urged renewed efforts to combat myths and misinformation about vaccines. This need is recognized in the US as well as shown by the creation of a new Center for an Informed Public (see related story in this issue.)


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