Dear Commissioner Goodell:
I hope that you have had an opportunity to read
this book. If you or any members of your staff have any questions,
comments, or suggestions please contact me at
pigskin.crossroads@gmail.com
. I would be happy to conduct any additional statistical analyses
of my data that would interest you.
You have been called the “Concussion Commissioner”
[314], and I can understand why. Congratulations for everything
that you’ve done in this regard. At the same time, you may also
realize by now that the fight against concussions requires
extensive and ongoing efforts. It is impressive how the NFL is now
taking a leadership role in the battle against concussions. I
sincerely hope that the tens of millions of research dollars
currently being spent by the League will help to improve the
situation for NFL players as well as others at risk for
concussions.
There are references sometimes made in the NFL related
to “value,” like a “value pick” in the draft. The concept of value
can also be applied to the type of research that’s supported by an
organization like the NFL, and the value of epidemiological
research will likely be amongst the most noteworthy in this
regard. This has been the case historically for countless diseases
and injuries. Dollar for dollar, epidemiology can provide the
utmost value because prevention is almost always a primary focus.
Some of the top concussion researchers in the world would agree
that “very little of the money that has been going into concussion
research has been going into concussion prevention” [315]. It is a
cliché, but definitely worth saying, that “an ounce of prevention
is worth a pound of cure.” I urge the NFL to continue its
leadership role on the concussion front and to consider investing
more of its research dollars towards the goal of preventing
concussions.
A 2010 New York Times article said that Drs. Batjer and
Ellenbogen “concurred that data collected by the NFL’s former
brain injury leadership was ‘infected’” [316]. I have cited the
work of Drs. Pellman, Casson, and colleagues dozens of times in
this book. As I am sure you know, these former leaders of the
League’s Mild Traumatic Brain Injury Committee published many
articles in scholarly biomedical journals that included 12 years
of epidemiological studies of concussions in the NFL. Are any of
the data contained in any of the published papers written by
Pellman, Casson, and colleagues problematic? If so, please
elaborate.
If the Pellman and Casson epidemiological data are okay,
then there are many additional analyses that could be done. I’ve
outlined some of the possibilities on this throughout the book.
It’s common for epidemiological and other research data to be
under-analyzed. I strongly believe that plenty more could be
learned by conducting additional analyses on the existing data and
the costs of such a project would be relatively inexpensive. You
also would not have to wait years to collect and analyze the data.
If the Pellman and Casson epidemiological data are okay, then
there are many additional analyses that could be done. I’ve
outlined some of the possibilities on this throughout the book.
It’s common for epidemiological and other research data to be
under-analyzed. I strongly believe that plenty more could be
learned by conducting additional analyses on the existing data and
the costs of such a project would be relatively inexpensive. You
also would not have to wait years to collect and analyze the data.
There were several notable players during the 2012
regular season who sustained concussions, appeared to follow the
NFL protocol, sat out a few games, and subsequently lost their
starting jobs. Obviously, it’s a good thing that these players are
coming forward and out of the “concussion closet.” Unfortunately,
losing one’s starting job cannot be a good incentive for other
players to do the same. Can you think of any ways to protect the
roles and playing time of players who follow the NFL protocol and
report their concussions?
As I have noted numerous times in this book, one of
the limitations of using the NFL Injury Report to determine who
has been concussed is that it is only published for teams which
play the next week. Why not ask teams to complete the Reports on
bye weeks and the final week of the regular season? This would
make the Report more complete, and hence, improve its usefulness
for research purposes. Another possibility is to create a
“concussion registry” for NFL players. This would be an organized
database of all players who have concussions, along with relevant
contextual information, like player background information,
position, team, type of play, type of contact, and so on. With the
permission of the NFL, the data from this registry could be made
available to researchers with specific ideas on how to analyze the
data. In order to maintain some privacy for the players included
in the concussion registry, identification numbers, rather than
names, can be used in the database. Disease registries have become
common and very useful in the biomedical sciences and may even
help to improve health outcomes at reduced costs [317].
The current policy in the NFL is to keep all concussed
players out of the games when they sustain concussions. Yet there
have been reports of players continuing to play with at least
suspected concussions [206]. What is the NFL doing to maximize
compliance with its return to play policies? Are you now confident
that the NFL’s policies and procedures related to concussion and
return to play are optimal and minimize the potential for
longer-term neurological risks to players?
Thanks very much and best of luck.
Sincerely,
Jeffrey S. Markowitz, Dr.PH
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