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Top Ten Epidemiology Monitor News Stories Of 2014

What very often constitutes big news in epidemiology is not  big news outside the field. 2014 was an exception. The Ebola outbreak centered in West Africa,  the most important epidemiology story of the year, was also the most important story in medicine, public health, and quite possibly in world news.  As of the new year, Ebola is off the front pages but still not under control.

Other significant headlines in epidemiology were the surprising revelations early last year about the late Pat Buffler’s ties to industry and the questions and concerns raised about conflicts of interest for epidemiologists.  On the lighter side, our marriage vow contest proved to be very popular with our readers and many voted to select the most humorous vow.

Below in rough chronological order are the top headlines from The Epidemiology Monitor in 2014 with a note about each story with links to each on our website.

1. Investigative Report Raises Questions About The Late Pat Buffler’s Multiple Relationships With Industry

A detailed report by David Heath from the Center for Public Integrity has revealed that the late Pat Buffler, the well-known and much-loved University of California Berkeley epidemiologist, served as a consultant for private industry for many years without publicly disclosing these activities and relationships. Because of the large number of these relationships, her failure to disclose them in journal articles or grant applications, and the variety of tasks she performed for industry, the article raises the possibility that Buffler rendered opinions that were influenced by the money she received rather than the scientific evidence itself.

Epi Monitor Article:  http://tinyurl.com/m3er6cz

[Ed. Note: One year later, it is still unclear what changes, if any, have been adopted or implemented by epidemiologists, professional associations, universities and other relevant organizations. We do know the International Joint Policy Committee of the Societies of Epidemiology has taken up the topic of conflicts of interest. We are interested in learning of any changes our readers are aware of in guidelines or in actual practice.]


2. Epidemiologic Mysteries Still Surround MERS-CoV Outbreak In The Middle East

The mysteries surrounding MERS-CoV have only deepened in the past few weeks as the cases have increased dramatically. There is no convincing explanation yet for the sudden increase in cases. According to Marjorie Pollack, Deputy Editor of ProMED, a listserv used as an informal surveillance system, “Two years since the first news reports, MERS remains a mystery. With more cases reported in a single month than in the two years combined, no one is certain how people become infected.”

Epi Monitor Article:  http://tinyurl.com/kg8nh5d

[Ed. Note: The spike in cases last April has suggested that MERS has a seasonality, but if so, that observation does not square easily with the belief that camels and bats may be the sources of exposure. Saudi Arabia reports 837 total cases and 361 deaths to date, a case fatality rate of 43%. The latest World Health recommendations call for continued surveillance but no travel restrictions at this time.]


3. List of Public Health Issues Appears To Be Growing

What makes calling an issue a public health issue so powerful? Judging from recent articles which have appeared in the mass and medical literature on topics as diverse as bullying and hoarding, it appears that seeing social concerns or problems through the lens of public health offers benefits that many advocates seek.

Epi Monitor Article http://tinyurl.com/kjdyno2

[Ed. Note: The beat goes on. Just this month we write about attempts to look at crime as a public health problem and to further develop a subspecialty called "epidemiological criminology".]


4. Large Gains In Life Expectancy Reported By WHO

People everywhere are living longer, according to the "World Health Statistics 2014" published by WHO. Based on global averages, a girl who was born in 2012 can expect to live to around 73 years, and a boy to the age of 68. This is six years longer than the average global life expectancy for a child born in 1990.

 

Epi Monitor Article:  http://tinyurl.com/ls5gg6a

[Ed. Note: The Global Burden of Disease study published in The Lancet recently attributes the drop in death rates in high income countries to a 15% decline in death rates from most cancers and a 22% decline in cardiovascular diseases. In low income countries, deaths caused by diarrhea, lower respiratory infections, and neonatal disorders have fallen.]


5. Double Entendres Selected In Marriage Vow Humor Contest

After months of creative thinking by epidemiologists both nationally and internationally, we announced a winner of The Epidemiology Monitor Marriage Vow Humor Contest.

Winning Slogan:

I vow to you that my love for you will have a 100% survival rate over a lifetime.

1st Runner Up:

I promise that you’ll always have the power to rule out all my explanations.

2nd Runner Up:

I promise that no matter how many times we are tested, that I will never adjust our level of significance.


6. New Field Of “Energy Epidemiology” Emerging In Response To The Threats Of Climate Change

Non-health researchers with broader interests have conceived of health as only one part of what epidemiology is capable of addressing. A striking example of this thinking is the adoption of epidemiology and the epidemiologic approach by engineers, sociologists, physicists, and other scientists interested in studying end-user demand for energy in built environments. Their goal, as stated by the new Centre for Energy Epidemiology (CEE) at University College London is to adapt the full range of experience of 150+ years of medical epidemiology to provide an overarching structure to “energy end-use demand research”, and to provide a stream of insight to guide policy formation and evaluation.

Epi Monitor Article
http://tinyurl.com/oche2mb

[Ed. Note: The stated goal says it all and reminds us of the power of epidemiology.]


7. Lancet Issue Highlights The State Of Health Of Americans

“Americans deserve better health, particularly given the amount of money they spend on health care. We have made progress, but can do much better.” That’s how CDC Director Tom Frieden and Associate Director for Science Harold Jaffe conclude their commentary on the state of health in the US. They were writing at the invitation of The Lancet as part of a set of review papers on US health published in the July 5, 2014 issue by CDC authors.

Epi Monitor Article"  http://tinyurl.com/l79yqoe

[Ed. Note: Writing about challenges in 2014, CDC focused on cardiovascular diseases, smoking, and an impressive list of new and old infectious disease threats such as AIDS, Ebola, and antibiotic resistance.]


8. From Containment To Crisis In 5 Minutes---Ebola “Out Of Control” In West Africa Says Doctors Without Borders

“Given that surveillance and response measures have held this [Ebola] disease in check for the past decade, why has the situation gotten so far out of hand this time?”

This is the complex question for  epidemiologists and public health officials raised by the West African Ebola outbreak in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone and posed so clearly  by Dick Thompson, a former WHO communications official who specialized in outbreak communications during his tenure at WHO, writing recently in National Geographic News. Several epidemiologists and health officials close to the outbreak have shared their insights in trying to answer this question.

Epi Monitor Article"  http://tinyurl.com/o7soz4t


[Ed. Note: A special report from WHO this month seeks to pinpoint the causes of failure to control Ebola in West Africa (see article this issue). In our opinion, blame “delayed recognition” for entrenching the disease, “business as usual thinking” for underestimating the disease, and then factors too numerous to count among poor West African countries for amplifying disease spread.]


9. More Than 1,000 Epidemiologists Converge On Anchorage for Triennial Meeting Of The International Epidemiological Association

The scenery did not disappoint, nor did the summer weather. More than 1,000 epidemiologists from more than 30 different countries made their way to cool, sunny, and beautiful Anchorage Alaska in mid-August to participate in the 20th triennial meeting of the International Epidemiological Association. The meeting was bookended by an opening Cruickshank Lecture on climate change by Australia’s Tony (AJ) McMichael and a closing Richard Doll lecture on halving premature mortality given by Oxford University’s Richard Peto. Indigenous dancers also helped to entertain participants and kick off the meeting on the theme of Global Epidemiology in a Changing Environment: The Circumpolar Perspective”. 

Epi Monitor Article"  http://tinyurl.com/owpqvza

[Ed. Note: Sadly, Tony McMichael passed away shortly after his Alaska keynote address. Called a “gentle giant” in epidemiology, a video of his memorial event in Australia is available on You Tube at: http://tinyurl.com/o6wbcd4 ]


10. Researchers Call For Setting Quantitative Health Target Of Preventing 40% Of Under Age- 70 (Premature) Deaths By 2030

Inspired by the value of setting plausible goals and the fact that death in old age in inevitable but death before old age is not, researchers writing in The Lancet in September provide analyses of decreasing national mortality trends which they hope will influence the United Nations in setting disease and death reduction targets for the next round of international development goals. The current set of goals, called the Millenium Development Goals are set to expire in 2015 and will be replaced by a new set of Sustainable Development Goals.

Epi Monitor Article :  http://tinyurl.com/lk5kkpn

[Ed. Note: The sustainable development goals are a new, universal set of goals, targets and indicators that UN member states will be expected to use to frame their agendas and political policies over the next 15 years. The SDGs follow, and expand on the millennium development goals which were agreed by governments in 2000, and are due to expire at the end of this year. For a clear and graphic explanation of the goals, visit: http://tinyurl.com/kfn6uau ]  ■
 


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