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Interim Report From Corona Commission Identifies Several Shortcomings In Sweden’s Response To COVID-19

Did Sweden Underreact and Other Countries Overreact ?

Interest in the epidemiology of COVID-19 in Sweden has been high since the onset of the pandemic because Sweden’s initial strategy in response to the pandemic was more low-key than that of many other Western countries, especially its neighboring Nordic countries.

As characterized by the Swedish Corona Commission, “Sweden chose a different path to many other countries, one based on a voluntary approach and personal responsibility rather than more intrusive measures. The majority of other countries, by contrast, made greater use of lockdowns or other intrusive regulatory interventions.”

The question has always been did other countries overreact or did Sweden underreact.  As phrased by the Commission, the question is “whether Sweden’s choice of path was reasonable, or whether it would have been better to introduce other types of measures to limit the spread of the virus.”

Unfortunately, the Commission has delayed answering that controversial question until its final report in February 2022.  However, the Commission did conclude that Sweden’s handling of the pandemic has been marked by “slowness of response” and found that “the initial disease prevention and control measures were insufficient to stop or even substantially limit the spread of the virus in the country.”

But these conclusions should not be surprising since the rationale for the lower key response in Sweden was to have a more sustainable control strategy at the cost of allowing more people to get infected to begin with and thereby acquire a gradually increasing natural immunity. Whether it was reasonable to do that remains unanswered and the Commission will have to determine in retrospect if the tradeoffs involved were sound public health practice or not. The Commission will be making this determination in hindsight and not with all the uncertainty that surrounded the initial choice of strategy.

Anders Tegnell, Sweden’s chief epidemiologist who promoted the lower key strategy, is taking the longer view not focused only on the initial strategy and comparing Sweden to other European countries that are struggling now. He  told the Financial Times that “Now we're two years into this and Sweden doesn’t really stand out. We’re not the best but we’re definitely not the worst. That’s what I hear now: how much good did all these draconian [measures] do for anybody?” The Financial Times reports that Tegnell is unapologetic for Sweden’s approaches.

Other conclusions reached by the Commission as of now are listed below. These and all the conclusions are based on the work of thirty external researchers at various universities and institutions as well as several independent experts, many of whom provided background reports for the Commission.

The most important conclusions to date are

• Sweden’s pandemic preparedness was inadequate. This is similar to most other countries, according to the Commission.

• Existing communicable diseases legislation was and is inadequate to respond to a serious epidemic or pandemic outbreak. In commenting on this finding, the Commission added that “the Communicable Diseases Act has proved inadequate for handling a pandemic, as it is too focused on the individual. In a pandemic, the challenge is not just to look after individual citizens, but to protect an entire population.”

• Sweden’s system of communicable disease prevention and control was and is decentralized and fragmented in a way that makes it unclear who has overall responsibility when the country is hit by a serious infectious disease. The Commission called for strengthening and clarifying the positions of County Medical Officers and making other changes in how Sweden is organized for communicable disease prevention and control.

• The health care system has been able, at short notice, to adapt and to scale up care for people with COVID-19.

• In several areas there is a problematic lack of data, making it harder to monitor the pandemic while it is in progress and to satisfactorily evaluate its management when it is over.

To access an English summary of the Corona Commission’s interim report, visit:   https://bit.ly/3DtOPXT   ■

 


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