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Congo Ebola Outbreak Declared An International Emergency

Unparalleled Situation Is Impeding Control Measures

Epidemiologists Banned From Participating In Hot Zone

An outbreak of Ebola in the Congo has persisted for a year with 2,512 probable or confirmed cases and killed at least 1,650 persons as of mid-July without showing signs of abating. An estimated 12 new cases are being reported each day or about 80 per week, and this number is believed to be an underestimate. The case fatality rate for confirmed cases is 67% and there is special concern that approximately 30% of the cases are children under 18 years. Health workers  are accounting for 5% of the cases.

Expanded Risk

Now, the report of a new case in the highly populated region of Goma, a large population center in the Democratic Republic of the Congo on the border with Rwanda, has sounded alarm bells even more loudly. The World Health Organization, triggered by the case in Goma, has declared a public health emergency. The declaration means the outbreak is “an extraordinary event that poses a public health risk to other countries through international spread and that potentially requires a coordinated international response.” WHO’s assessment is that risk remains very high at national and regional levels but still low at global level. There is cause for special concern linked to the recent case in Goma because the city is a provincial capital with an airport which has international flights

Complex Environment

Because of the lessons learned from the last outbreak in West Africa five years ago and the development of an effective vaccine since then, it is puzzling to understand why the current year-old outbreak has not yet been halted. Official reports, eyewitness observations, and multiple media articles all point to a complex and uniquely challenging situation in which lessons learned from West Africa may not really apply. The major factors which have proven to be serious impediments to the control of this outbreak include the following:

Fear of unintended consequences
Three previous meetings by the WHO Advisory Committee have not recommended declaring an emergency out of fear of doing more harm than
good because of unintended consequences. A similar declaration five years ago in West Africa caused travel bans, visa cancellations, trade freezes, cancelled flights and other hardships which amplified the negative social and economic effects of the outbreak and actually backfired to impede control measures.

Lack of Resources
The resources needed to properly combat the outbreak have not been provided. “Unless we get substantially more financial resources immediately, it will not be possible to end the outbreak,” according to Mark Lowcock, a United Nations Emergency Relief Coordinator. Previous decisions not to declare an emergency have meant less leverage for those arguing for more resources, which hopefully will now be forthcoming.

Tenuous Security
Insecurity is the greatest concern, especially after two more community health workers were killed recently. Media Express reports “as many as 134 separate armed rebel groups have sparred for control of the mineral-rich region in recent years, and an explosion of ethnically motivated kidnappings, maimings, and sexual violence displaced at least 300,000 people in June alone. There is a humanitarian crisis underway with millions of people displaced from their homes and on the move. 

Political considerations
Epidemiologists and Ebola experts from CDC have been banned from full participation. “High income countries fear a Benghazi moment: If they let trained experts into the hot zone and they got killed—or worse—kidnapped—it would be a political crisis,” reported Medical Express in speaking with Georgetown University’s Larry Gostin who directs an institute on national and global health law.

Lack of trust
Contact tracing has not been possible in a place where there is distrust of the government and other authorities and the population is mobile. If they can be found, families which are identified for preventive measures hide loved ones behind closed doors for fear they will be hauled away. Contacts who need the proven effective vaccine do not get it.

Lack of Information & Misinformation
Conspiracy theories and misinformation circulates on social media. Lancet reported that a quarter of residents of North Kivu do not believe the virus is real. Other claims are that it is a biological attack by white Westerners or deliberate spread by the Congolese government.

According to the latest situation report from WHO, “The continuous transmission in major hotspots and the involvement of new health areas remain a grave concern, and thus necessitates both the continuation of proven and the introduction of novel outbreak control interventions in all affected areas.” 

 

Graph from WHO:   Ebola Virus Disease / External Situation Report 50       https://bit.ly/2XQ5PHg

 
 



 

 

World Health Organization Issues New Recommendations To Intensify Ebola Control Measures

Triggered by its Declaration of a Public Health Emergency of International Concern and citing the International Health Regulations, the WHO has issued new recommendations for officials in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and for neighboring countries. The spread of the infection to a large population of 2 million persons in Goma on the border with Rwanda has heightened regional and international risk. The recommendations include:

Temporary Recommendations

In its emergency declaration, WHO makes the following temporary recommendations under international health regulations to improve control of the outbreak.

Recommendations for the Congo

• Communication:

Continue to strengthen community awareness, engagement, and participation, including at points of entry, with at-risk populations, in particular to identify and address cultural norms and beliefs that serve as barriers to their full participation in the response.

• Screening
Continue cross-border screening and screening at main internal roads to ensure that no contacts are missed and enhance the quality of screening through improved sharing of information with surveillance teams.

• Security
Continue to work and enhance coordination with the UN and partners to reduce security threats, mitigate security risks, and create an enabling
environment for public health operations as an essential platform for accelerating disease-control efforts.

•Surveillance
 Strengthen surveillance with a view towards reducing the proportion of community deaths and the time between detection and isolation, and implementing real-time genetic sequencing to better understand the dynamics of disease transmission.

• Vaccination
Optimal vaccine strategies that have maximum impact on curtailing the outbreak, as recommended by WHO’s Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE), should be implemented rapidly.

• Nosocomial infections
Strengthen measures to prevent nosocomial infections, including systematic mapping of health facilities, targeting of IPC interventions and sustain support to those facilities through monitoring and sustained supervision.

Recommendations for neighboring countries:

• Preparedness
At-risk countries should work urgently
with partners to improve their preparedness for detecting and managing imported cases, including the mapping of health facilities and active surveillance with zero reporting.  At-risk countries should put in place approvals for investigational medicines and vaccines as an immediate priority for preparedness.

• Mapping
Countries should continue to map population movements and sociological patterns that can predict risk of disease spread.

•Communication and Engagement
Risk communications and community engagement, especially at points of entry, should be increased.

Recommendations for all States:
 

• No country should close its borders or place any restrictions on travel and trade.
 

• National authorities should work with airlines and other transport and tourism industries to ensure that they do not exceed WHO’s advice on international traffic.
 

• The Committee does not consider entry screening at airports or other ports of entry outside the region to be necessary.    ■

 


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