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US Outbreaks Of Acute Flaccid Myelitis Still Posing  Several Mysteries

Identifying Risk Factors Called “A Public Health Priority”

A comprehensive review and analysis in July by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC ) of cases of acute flaccid myelitis (AFM) which causes limb weakness mostly in children  reveals many unsolved mysteries (MMWR, July 12). CDC Principal Deputy Director Anne Schuchat speaking at a recent telebriefing said “AFM is a devastating illness for patients and their families…and we want parents to know that we are keeping their children front and center and working with our partners to better understand this illness, the risk factors, and ways to treat and prevent it.” The unanswered epidemiologic questions are a cause of concern at the CDC which has declared the identification of risk factors for AFM a public health priority.

The disease was first recognized as a distinct condition during a severe outbreak of respiratory illness caused by enterovirus D-68 (EV-D68) in 2014. Since then, there have been seasonal peaks between August and October every two years in 2016 and 2018. This seasonality casts suspicion on viruses as the etiologic agents. Cases are found year round and in the odd-numbered years, but the reasons for the two-year peaks or periodicity are a mystery.

Laboratory Evidence

While respiratory viruses and enteroviruses in particular are suspected as the causative agents, the laboratory evidence is not yet conclusive. Most of the cases have a history of mild respiratory illness or fever less than a week before they developed arm or leg weakness. However, approximately half of cases can be negative for evidence of virus infection in respiratory specimens.

Recent Development

Another mystery is why the outbreaks have started only in recent times. AFM is a recognized but rare complication of infections caused by West Nile virus, adenovirus, and enteroviruses. However, the first recognized outbreak of AFM was noted in association with the large US outbreak of severe respiratory illness caused by EV-D68 in 2014.

 The condition is still considered rare with 233 confirmed cases during the 2018 outbreak. Why some children develop limb weakness and others do not is a puzzle. Perhaps there are genetic predispositions not yet identified. Affected children have been previously healthy and nothing unusual about them has been noted to date.

Recent Publications

The CDC reports about AFM in the MMWR and in Vital Signs and the telebriefing were timed for the beginning of the 2019 season from August to October when AFM cases have peaked. The CDC goal is to alert everyone to anticipate cases and to report them as early as possible to assure thorough investigations that might provide a better understanding of the epidemiology.

Latest Epidemiology

During 2018, CDC received reports of 374 persons meeting the case definition for AFM and 233 of these or 62% were classified as confirmed and 26 or 7% as probable. As many as 115 reported persons were classified as non-AFM cases.

Confirmed cases had a median age of 5.3 years and were equally distributed by sex.  98% of confirmed cases were hospitalized and 60% of these were admitted to an intensive care unit. No deaths were reported during the acute phase of illness among confirmed cases, but two deaths occurred months after limb weakness onset. Since 2014, the occurrence of AFM has been very widespread with reports coming from 48 states.

More Epi Investigation Needed

According to CDC, “prompt recognition of signs and symptoms, early specimen collection, and complete and rapid reporting will expedite public health investigations and research studies to elucidate the recent epidemiology of AFM and subsequently inform treatment and prevention.”

 


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